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2025-02-17|

Measles Outbreak in the United States: A Resurgence of a Vaccine-Preventable Disease

by Mark Chiang
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The United States is experiencing a concerning rise in measles cases in early 2025, raising public health alarm bells. As of February 17, 2025, multiple states have reported infections, with Texas bearing the brunt of a significant outbreak. Initially reported at 24 cases, the Texas outbreak has rapidly doubled to 48 confirmed cases, concentrated primarily in Gaines County and surrounding areas. This represents the state’s largest measles outbreak in nearly three decades and has resulted in at least 13 hospitalizations. Worryingly, all confirmed cases in Texas involve individuals who are either unvaccinated or whose vaccination status is unknown, highlighting the critical role of vaccination in preventing measles transmission.

Other states, including Alaska, Georgia, New Mexico, New York, and Rhode Island, have also reported measles cases this year. This resurgence follows a concerning trend of declining vaccination rates and rising exemptions, as documented by the CDC for the 2023-2024 school year. The current outbreaks underscore the highly contagious nature of measles and the urgent need for increased vaccination coverage to protect communities and prevent further spread.

Current Measles Outbreak in Texas: Outbreak Timeline and Geographic Spread

The Texas Department of State Health Services (DSHS) initially reported a measles outbreak in Gaines County, Texas on February 5, 2025. Six cases were identified at that time, all among unvaccinated school-aged children residing in Gaines County. By February 7, 2025, the number of cases had risen to 10, with eight school-aged children, two under the age of five, and seven requiring hospitalization.

As of February 12, 2025, the outbreak worsened, with 24 cases reported, including 22 children and two adults, all unvaccinated, with nine hospitalizations. The outbreak has since expanded beyond Gaines County, impacting Lynn, Terry, and Yoakum counties, reaching a total of 48 cases by February 18, 2025. This represents the state’s worst outbreak in nearly 30 years, surpassing the 49 cases reported in 1996. One linked case has also been reported in Lea County, New Mexico, involving an unvaccinated teenager with no recent travel history or known measles exposure.

Vaccination Status and Community Characteristics

All reported cases in the Texas outbreak are among unvaccinated individuals, highlighting the vulnerability of communities with low vaccination rates. The outbreak area is described as a sparsely populated rural region in western Texas near the New Mexico border. Local health officials have noted that many affected families choose to educate their children in small private schools or through homeschooling, and some have expressed vaccine hesitancy. While personal choice is respected, this trend contributes to lower overall vaccination coverage and increases the risk of outbreaks.

Public Health Response and Mitigation Efforts

The Texas DSHS and local health authorities are actively working to control the outbreak and prevent further spread. Efforts include increased screening for measles, intensified vaccination campaigns to improve community immunity, and educational initiatives for school officials and families about measles symptoms, transmission, and the importance of vaccination. The DSHS has also issued a health alert advising clinicians to be vigilant in identifying and reporting suspected measles cases. They recommend an early dose of the MMR vaccine for infants aged 6 to 11 months in affected communities. Children aged 12 months and older should receive two doses of the MMR vaccine, with the first dose at 12-15 months and the second dose at 4-6 years.

Comparison with Previous Texas Measles Cases

While Texas has experienced measles cases in recent years, the current outbreak is significantly larger than previous incidents. Two cases were confirmed in Harris County in January 2025, linked to international travel in unvaccinated individuals. There is no known connection between the Harris County cases and the Gaines County outbreak. The 2025 outbreak surpasses the 27 cases reported in 2013, which followed exposure from a traveler returning from Asia who interacted with a vaccine-hesitant community.

Measles: Disease Characteristics and Prevention

Measles is a highly contagious respiratory illness caused by a virus. It spreads through direct contact with infectious droplets or through airborne transmission when an infected person coughs or sneezes. The virus can remain infectious in the air for up to two hours. Symptoms typically include fever, cough, runny nose, and a characteristic rash. Measles can lead to serious complications, such as pneumonia, encephalitis, and pregnancy complications. The MMR vaccine is highly effective in preventing measles and is routinely recommended for children and adults. Maintaining high vaccination rates is crucial for preventing outbreaks and protecting community health. Measles was declared eliminated in the U.S. in 2000, but outbreaks can still occur due to imported cases and low vaccination rates in some communities. The CDC emphasizes the importance of vaccination for travelers and recommends two doses of the MMR vaccine for most international travelers.

Measles Cases in Other US States

Map of measles cases as of February 6, 2025
Map of measles cases as of February 6, 2025

Measles Activity Outside of Texas in 2025

As of February 6, 2025, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported 14 measles cases across five jurisdictions: Alaska, Georgia, New York City, Rhode Island, and Texas. It is important to note that this data predates the significant escalation of the Texas outbreak and does not include updated figures from Texas and New Mexico. All 14 cases occurred in unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown vaccination status, with six (43%) resulting in hospitalization. Specific details regarding the number of cases per state outside of Texas are not yet publicly available from the CDC, as updates are typically posted monthly. However, news reports indicate cases in these states, primarily among unvaccinated individuals.

Measles Cases Across the US in 2024

In 2024, the CDC reported a total of 285 measles cases across 33 jurisdictions. These jurisdictions included Arizona, California, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York City, New York State, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and West Virginia.

A report from March 2024 indicated 58 confirmed measles cases across 17 jurisdictions, linked to seven outbreaks. This represented a significant increase compared to the 58 total cases in four outbreaks reported throughout 2023. Ninety-three percent of the reported cases in early 2024 were linked to international travel, primarily affecting unvaccinated children over 12 months of age. The CDC reported that MMR vaccination coverage for children entering kindergarten in 2024 fell below the recommended 95% threshold, reaching 92.7%, contributing to increased outbreak vulnerability. Eighty-nine percent of the 2024 cases were among unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown vaccination status, and approximately 40% resulted in hospitalization.

Analysis of Measles Resurgence Trends (2001-2019)

A study published in Scientific Reports analyzed measles resurgence in the United States in the post-elimination era, covering the period from 2001 to 2019. The study found a significant increase in both the number of measles outbreaks and the number of states affected during this period. In 2001, there were 10 outbreaks affecting 16 states, while in 2019, the number of outbreaks rose to 22, impacting 31 states. The research highlighted a strong positive correlation between the number of outbreaks and the number of states affected. The study also investigated the relationship between the annual incidence rate (AIR) of measles in US residents and various factors. A significant linear association was found between the AIR and the number of outbreaks.

While there was a strong negative correlation between the number of outbreaks and the percentage of imported cases, this correlation was not statistically significant in a multiple regression model. The study concluded that while the percentage of imported measles cases has generally decreased over the past two decades, internal transmission following importation, driven by low vaccination rates and vaccine hesitancy in certain subpopulations, contributes significantly to the sustained increase in measles incidence in the US.

The Role of International Travel and Vaccination Gaps

The resurgence of measles in the US is often linked to international travel, with unvaccinated individuals contracting the virus abroad and subsequently spreading it within their communities upon return. This highlights the importance of vaccination for travelers and the need to address vaccination gaps within the US population. The CDC recommends two doses of the MMR vaccine for most international travelers. Furthermore, pockets of low vaccination coverage within the US create vulnerable communities susceptible to outbreaks. These communities may include groups with vaccine hesitancy or limited access to healthcare. Maintaining high vaccination rates is crucial for preventing outbreaks, protecting community health, and maintaining measles elimination status.

Public Health Recommendations and Resources

The CDC provides various resources and recommendations for healthcare professionals and the public regarding measles. These include health advisories on measles outbreaks, rash diagnosis and treatment guidelines, infection prevention recommendations for healthcare settings, and a measles surveillance manual. The CDC emphasizes the importance of timely reporting of suspected measles cases to facilitate rapid investigation and control measures. State health departments play a critical role in collaborating with the CDC to monitor measles activity, implement control measures, and promote vaccination. Public health campaigns focused on educating communities about measles symptoms, transmission, and the importance of vaccination are essential for preventing future outbreaks and protecting vulnerable populations. The CDC’s “Yellow Book” provides comprehensive information on international travel and health, including recommendations for measles vaccination. Collaboration between public health agencies, healthcare providers, and communities is vital for effectively addressing the ongoing challenges posed by measles resurgence in the US.

Impact of Vaccination Rates on Measles Outbreaks in the US: Correlation Between Vaccination Coverage and Measles Incidence

Measles, a highly contagious disease, was declared eliminated in the US in 2000. This elimination was achieved through high vaccination rates with the MMR (measles, mumps, and rubella) vaccine. However, since elimination, the US has experienced periodic measles outbreaks, largely attributed to pockets of unvaccinated or undervaccinated individuals. A 2019 commentary in the New England Journal of Medicine highlighted the concerning resurgence of measles globally and in the US due to declining vaccination coverage. The commentary emphasizes that without renewed focus on vaccination efforts, measles could rebound significantly. This underscores the direct correlation between vaccination rates and measles incidence: lower vaccination coverage leads to increased susceptibility and higher chances of outbreaks.

Herd Immunity and its Protective Role

The concept of herd immunity is crucial in understanding the impact of vaccination rates on measles outbreaks. Herd immunity occurs when a sufficient percentage of a population is immune to a disease, making it difficult for the disease to spread, thus protecting even those who are not immune. For measles, which is highly contagious, the herd immunity threshold is estimated to be above 90%. This high threshold necessitates widespread vaccination coverage to effectively interrupt measles transmission. When vaccination rates fall below this threshold, herd immunity is compromised, creating opportunities for outbreaks to occur and spread, particularly among vulnerable unvaccinated populations.

A study in a highly vaccinated population in the Netherlands demonstrated that even with average vaccine coverage of 93%, measles transmission could be interrupted, but major outbreaks could still occur in communities with lower coverage. This highlights the importance of uniform and high vaccination coverage across all communities to prevent localized outbreaks.

Vaccine Hesitancy and Misinformation as Contributing Factors

While the MMR vaccine is safe and highly effective, vaccine hesitancy and misinformation contribute to lower vaccination rates and increased measles susceptibility. A systematic review examining the social determinants of parental perceptions on MMR vaccine hesitancy identified parental anxiety regarding a now-debunked link between the MMR vaccine and autism as a significant driver of vaccine refusal. This misinformation, often spread through social media and other channels, has fueled fear and distrust in vaccines, leading to decreased vaccination uptake and contributing to the resurgence of measles. Addressing vaccine hesitancy requires targeted public health campaigns that provide evidence-based information about vaccine safety and efficacy, counter misinformation, and build trust in healthcare providers and public health institutions.

Impact of Outbreaks on Healthcare Resources

Measles outbreaks, particularly in undervaccinated communities, can place a significant strain on healthcare resources. The high contagiousness of measles can lead to rapid spread, requiring extensive public health interventions, including contact tracing, isolation of infected individuals, and administration of post-exposure prophylaxis. Hospitalizations due to measles complications, such as pneumonia and encephalitis, further burden healthcare systems. A 2019 New England Journal of Medicine commentary described a case where a single child with measles infected 23 other children in a pediatric oncology clinic, resulting in a 21% fatality rate (NIH). This example illustrates the potential severity of measles outbreaks, particularly among vulnerable populations, and the substantial impact on healthcare capacity.

Strategies for Improving Vaccination Rates and Preventing Outbreaks

Improving vaccination rates is crucial for preventing future measles outbreaks and maintaining measles elimination status in the US. Strategies to achieve this include:

  • Strengthening school immunization requirements: Stricter school entry requirements for MMR vaccination, with limited exemptions, can help ensure high childhood vaccination coverage.
  • Improving access to vaccination services: Providing convenient and accessible vaccination clinics, including mobile clinics and extended hours, can remove barriers to vaccination, especially for underserved communities.
  • Public health campaigns to address vaccine hesitancy: Targeted communication campaigns using trusted messengers and evidence-based information can help address vaccine hesitancy and promote vaccine confidence.
  • Healthcare provider education and training: Equipping healthcare providers with the knowledge and tools to effectively communicate with parents about vaccine safety and address their concerns can increase vaccine uptake.
  • Disease surveillance and outbreak response: Robust surveillance systems to detect and respond quickly to measles cases and outbreaks are essential to contain spread and prevent large-scale outbreaks.

The CDC provides resources and information on measles, vaccination, and outbreak prevention. These resources emphasize the importance of maintaining high vaccination coverage to protect individuals and communities from measles and other vaccine-preventable diseases. The WHO also provides global guidance on measles elimination strategies, emphasizing the need for high vaccination coverage with two doses of the MMR vaccine. By implementing these strategies, the US can strengthen its measles elimination efforts and protect public health.

Measles Outbreak in Texas: A Growing Public Health Concern

The 2025 measles outbreak in Texas, originating in Gaines County and spreading to surrounding counties and even New Mexico, represents a significant public health concern. As of February 18, 2025, 48 cases, primarily among unvaccinated children and adults, have been reported, marking the state’s largest outbreak in nearly three decades. The outbreak underscores the vulnerability of communities with low vaccination rates, particularly those with clusters of vaccine hesitancy. The concentration of cases among individuals educated in private schools or through homeschooling suggests potential challenges in ensuring adequate vaccination coverage within these groups.

While Texas has seen measles cases in recent years, often linked to international travel, the current outbreak’s scale and rapid spread within the state highlight the need for intensified public health interventions. The situation mirrors national trends of increasing measles cases and outbreaks, as seen in the 285 cases reported across 33 jurisdictions in 2024. The decline in MMR vaccination coverage for kindergarteners below the recommended 95% threshold further emphasizes the growing risk of measles resurgence nationwide.

Strengthening Vaccination Efforts and Outbreak Prevention

The Texas outbreak highlights the critical importance of maintaining high vaccination rates and addressing vaccine hesitancy. The fact that all reported cases involve unvaccinated individuals underscores the effectiveness of the MMR vaccine and the direct link between low vaccination coverage and outbreak vulnerability. The ongoing public health response, including increased screening, intensified vaccination campaigns, and educational initiatives, is crucial for controlling the outbreak and preventing further spread. However, long-term strategies are needed to address the underlying causes of low vaccination rates, including vaccine hesitancy and misinformation. Targeted public health campaigns, improved access to vaccination services, and stronger school immunization requirements are essential for preventing future outbreaks and protecting community health.

The current situation necessitates a renewed focus on measles prevention and control efforts. Collaboration between public health agencies, healthcare providers, educational institutions, and community organizations is vital to effectively address vaccine hesitancy, improve vaccination coverage, and strengthen outbreak preparedness. Continued monitoring of measles activity, both within Texas and nationally, is essential to inform public health interventions and ensure a rapid response to future cases. Ultimately, achieving and maintaining high vaccination rates through evidence-based strategies and community engagement is paramount to protecting public health and preventing the resurgence of measles in the United States. The CDC and WHO provide valuable resources and guidance on measles prevention, vaccination, and outbreak control.

 

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Original Data Source: GO-AI-1, February 17, 2025

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